Poll of Exit Polls: BJP-TMC neck-and-neck in Bengal, Congress leads in Kerala, TVK shines in Tamil Nadu; Assam backs Himanta

The exit polls for the high-stakes Assembly elections in West Bengal, Tamil Nadu, Kerala, Assam and Puducherry were released on Wednesday, presenting a mixed political picture with the BJP predicted to dislodge Mamata Banerjee-led TMC from power in Bengal, the Congress-led UDF returning to power in Kerala and Vijay’s TVK emerging as a potential kingmaker in Tamil Nadu.

Among the four major states that went to polls, Assam is the only one where almost all exit polls have unanimously predicted an NDA clean sweep.

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In other key states, the projections remain mixed. In Bengal, five out of seven exit polls have projected an edge for the BJP, while two surveys have predicted a landslide victory for the Mamata Banerjee-led Trinamool Congress.

Similarly, in Tamil Nadu, most exit polls have projected the DMK-led alliance’s victory. However, at least one survey has predicted that the AIADMK-BJP alliance may emerge victorious. The Axis My India survey has predicted a blockbuster debut for Vijay’s Tamilaga Vettri Kazhagam or TVK.

A similar trend was also visible in Kerala where several exit polls predicted the Congress-led UDF’s return to power after a decade. However, one survey has given an edge to the Left Democratic Front or LDF.

Given the tendency of exit polls, which have often thrown up results completely different from the final outcome, a poll of exit polls helps in better gauging the public mood by aggregating projections from multiple agencies.

West Bengal Poll of Exit Polls

According to Janmat Polls, the TMC and allies are projected to win 195-205 seats in West Bengal, while the BJP+ alliance could secure 80-90 seats. Congress+ is predicted to win 1-3 seats, Left+ 0-1 and others 3-5 seats.

JVC has projected a close contest with TMC+ likely to secure 131-152 seats and BJP+ 138-159 seats. Congress+ may win 0-2 seats, Left+ 0-1 and others 0-1 seats.

According to Matrize, BJP+ is projected to emerge ahead with 146-161 seats, while TMC+ could secure 125-140 seats. Others are predicted to win 6-10 seats.

P-Marq has projected 150-175 seats for BJP+ and 118-138 seats for TMC+, while others could secure 2-6 seats.

Peoples Pulse has predicted a strong performance for TMC+ with 177-187 seats, while BJP+ is projected to get 95-110 seats. Congress+ may secure 1-3 seats and Left+ 0-1 seats.

Poll Diary has projected BJP+ to win 142-171 seats and TMC+ 99-127 seats. Congress+ may get 3-5 seats, Left+ 2-3 and others 0-1 seats.

Praja Poll has projected a massive victory for BJP+ with 178-208 seats, while TMC+ is likely to secure 85-110 seats. Others could win up to five seats.

The poll of exit polls projects a close contest in West Bengal, with BJP at 143 seats and TMC at 142 seats, while Congress and Left are projected to win one seat each and others seven seats.

Tamil Nadu Poll of Exit Polls

According to Axis My India, the DMK-led alliance is projected to win 92-110 seats in Tamil Nadu, while the BJP-AIADMK alliance could secure 22-23 seats. Tamilaga Vettri Kazhagam is projected to win 98-120 seats.

JVC has projected a victory for the BJP-AIADMK alliance with 128-147 seats, while the DMK-led alliance is likely to secure 75-95 seats. TVK is projected to win 8-15 seats.

Kamakhya Analytics has projected a closely fought contest, with the DMK-led alliance likely to secure 78-95 seats, the BJP-AIADMK alliance 68-84 seats and TVK 67-81 seats.

According to Matrize, the DMK-led alliance is projected to win 122-132 seats, while the BJP-AIADMK alliance could secure 87-100 seats. TVK is likely to win 10-12 seats, while others may secure up to six seats.

P-Marq has projected 125-145 seats for the DMK-led alliance, 65-85 seats for the BJP-AIADMK alliance and 16-26 seats for TVK. Others are projected to win 1-6 seats.

Peoples Insight has projected the DMK-led alliance to secure 120-140 seats, while the BJP-AIADMK alliance may get 60-70 seats. TVK is projected to win 30-40 seats and others 0-4 seats.

Peoples Pulse has projected 125-145 seats for the DMK-led alliance, 65-80 seats for the BJP-AIADMK alliance and 18-24 seats for TVK. Others may secure 2-6 seats.

Praja Poll has projected a massive victory for the DMK-led alliance with 148-168 seats, while the BJP-AIADMK alliance is likely to secure 61-81 seats. TVK may win 1-9 seats.

The poll of exit polls projects the DMK-led alliance to win 120 seats, the BJP-AIADMK alliance 77 seats, TVK 36 seats and others one seat.

Kerala Poll of Exit Polls

According to Axis My India, the LDF is projected to win 49-62 seats in Kerala, while the UDF could secure 78-90 seats. The BJP-led alliance is projected to win 0-3 seats.

Peoples Insight has projected 58-68 seats for the LDF, 66-76 seats for the UDF and 10-14 seats for the BJP-led alliance. Others may secure up to one seat.

According to Peoples Pulse, the LDF is likely to win 55-65 seats, while the UDF could secure 75-85 seats. The BJP-led alliance is projected to win 0-3 seats.

Vote Vibe has projected 58-68 seats for the LDF and 70-80 seats for the UDF, while others could secure up to four seats.

The poll of exit polls projects the UDF to win 75 seats, the LDF 60 seats, the BJP-led alliance four seats and others one seat.

Assam Poll of Polls

According to Axis My India, the Bharatiya Janata Party-led alliance is projected to win 88-100 seats in Assam, while the Congress-led alliance could secure 24-36 seats. Others are projected to win 0-3 seats.

Janmat Polls has projected 87-98 seats for the BJP-led alliance and 29-30 seats for the Congress-led alliance.

JVC has projected the BJP-led alliance to secure 88-101 seats, while the Congress-led alliance could win 23-33 seats. The All India United Democratic Front may secure 2-5 seats.

Kamakhya Analytics has projected 85-95 seats for the BJP-led alliance and 26-39 seats for the Congress-led alliance. Others may secure up to three seats.

According to Matrize, the BJP-led alliance is likely to win 85-95 seats, while the Congress-led alliance could secure 25-32 seats. Others are projected to win 6-12 seats.

Peoples Insight has projected 88-96 seats for the BJP-led alliance, 30-34 seats for the Congress-led alliance and 2-4 seats for others.

Poll Diary has projected the BJP-led alliance to secure 86-101 seats, while the Congress-led alliance may win 15-26 seats.

The poll of exit polls projects the BJP-led alliance to win 92 seats, the Congress-led alliance 29 seats, AIUDF one seat and others four seats.